Wednesday, 6 April 2016

Section D: Impact on Singapore and the Region - Benefits and Risks

Benefits

  1. Quality of air and environment

Indonesia currently uses coal to produce 51% of their electricity and no usage of nuclear power to generate energy (United States Energy Information Administration, 2015). Combusting coal to heat water produces steam to spin turbines, generating electricity.  However, the process produces substances polluting the natural environment, more specifically, the air. Some substances released into the air if not contained, disposed and/or treated are carbon dioxide, particulate matter, sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxides and mercury (Union of Concerned Scientists, n.d.).


Refer to the table below for the general effects of these substances on our environment, and towards Singapore as an immediate neighbour of Indonesia and their other neighbours (Union of Concerned Scientists, n.d.).


Substance
Typical amount produced per plant per year

Harmful effects
Without emission controls
With emission control
Carbon dioxide
3.5 million tons
0 ton
Global warming
Particulate matter
500 tons
At least 5 tons
Asthma, chronic bronchitis, visibility
Sulfur dioxide
14, 100 tons
7, 000 tons
Acid rain (affects crops and water quality), absorbed into bloodstream
Nitrogen oxides
10, 300 tons
3, 300 tons
Burn lung tissue, increase susceptibility to chronic lung disease
Mercury
170 pounds
153 pounds
Brain damage, heart problems

On the other hand, nuclear power plants emit no carbon emission and other substances, other than radioactive waste which will either be stored in containers for a long time or reprocessed through costly procedures.

With the introduction of a nuclear power plant to generate electricity, the reliance on coal based power plants can be reduced. Over time, coal power plants may be possibly taken out once the nuclear power plants can produce more than them. It is noted that the amount of energy nuclear power plants produce far exceeds any other form of energy generators. Hence, coal power plants would most possibly phase out, in turn eliminating the harmful substances from being emitted.

Hence, the one of the benefits of implementing the nuclear power plant in Indonesia is a reduction in harmful effects such as global warming, acid rain and chronic lung disease (as seen in the table above), potentially improving the air quality and environment in the region.

2.              Electricity trading - Reduction in electricity cost in Singapore

After the initial construction of the facility and acquiring of materials, other costs and expenses for the nuclear power plant will be for the maintenance and upkeep the production of energy other than wages for workers. Cost of production of energy would decrease drastically after the setting up phase. Also, nuclear power plants are able to produce far more energy than regular coal and natural gas power plants, hence extra energy could be sold to neighbouring countries like Singapore.

Cross-referencing to Finland, the chart below shows that the cost of nuclear energy is much lower compared to some other forms of energy. Hence, we assume that the price of nuclear energy produced in Indonesia also would be much lower than the current cost in Singapore.




Singapore has been mainly importing and burning natural gas (10%) and petroleum (90%) (United States Energy Information Administration, n.d.). The expenses generated to produce electricity will vary along with oil and gas prices in the world. Hence, the expenses and cost are not as fixed and unable to predict accurately. Such fluctuations are then passed on to the consumers. With this uncertainty in price of electricity in Singapore, Singapore can certainly explore mixing the current energy supply with nuclear energy which can be possibly bought over from Indonesia. This is assuming that the cost of nuclear energy produced in Indonesia is much lower than the other forms of energy produced in Singapore.

Importing nuclear energy and integrating it into our energy source can reduce the cost of electricity.

3.              Increase in trade and investment regionally

From 2011 to 2015, 96% of Indonesia’s population is supplied electricity (World Bank, 2015). In addition to trading electricity with Singapore, nuclear power plants in Indonesia would enable their population to be more accessible to electricity, increasing the percentage of Indonesia’s population to be supplied electricity. Having the additional nuclear power plant would increase the quality of Indonesia’s infrastructure. This can also spur more investors to set up factories, commercial hubs, production plants, essentially expanding trade and business with other countries, including Singapore, and between Southeast Asia countries. From an article, it is stated that “Singapore is Indonesia’s main trade and investment partner” (Anthoni, 2014). More trade and investment between the 2 countries are bound to take off.

Risks:

  1. Radioactive contamination

The current location of the nuclear power plant being Batam, is a relatively short distance from Singapore, and it being geographically located near the sea between Singapore and Indonesia. Sea water can also contaminate further countries. If standard operating procedures of the disposal of nuclear waste was not adhered to, and dumped into the sea for quick and easy disposal, radioactive waste would easily drift toward Singapore and Malaysia’s waters, contaminating them within hours. Some possible contamination of radioactive waste affects (refer to table below):

Radioactive waste contaminates
Potential impacts upon contact

Water and dust
Humans and animals:
Mutation of cells, cancer
Livestock and crops:
Infected with radioactive particles are deadly to humans when consumed

2.              Paralyze Singapore

Nuclear plant disasters can occur anytime. For example, the water cooling system breaks down and the backup fails, an explosion can occur, causing a leakage of radioactive material. Refer to the table below for the causes and INES level of the different nuclear reactor plant disasters (Rogers, 2011).


From a previous nuclear reactor disaster in Fukushima, Japan in 2011, they had demarcated an 80 kilometre radius exclusion zone (BBC News, 2011). This means that no one should be living within that exclusion zone. Assuming that the same radius was given for the exclusion zone when a nuclear disaster occurs in Batam, the close proximity of Singapore is to Batam, 31 km, would mean that the whole of Singapore is within the exclusion zone as seen in the diagram below.





If something happens, for example, in Indonesia's nuclear facility, which will be built very close to Singapore, it will affect the whole country. (Amir. S, NTU’s School of Humanities and Social Sciences, September 27, 2015).

The entire Singapore would be located within the exclusion zone as seen in the diagrams above, all citizens will be forced to evacuate as the area will have high levels of radiation, deeming it to be deadly to mankind and an inhabitable land. Singapore, the urban metropolis will be abandoned by its own citizens, only for wildlife to reclaim itself on the tropical island. From a case-study of the Chernobyl exclusion zone, wildlife flourished in the absence of human intervention (Kaplan & Kirkpatrick, 2015). Singapore would not be able to function as a country, hosting humans, trade, technology advancements so on and so forth.


References

Anthoni, M. (2014, December 4). Singapore is Indonesia’s main trade, investment partner.

BBC News. (2011, March 31). Japan nuclear crisis: Pressure to widen evacuation zone.

Kaplan, S., & Kirkpatrick, N. (2015). In the eerie emptiness of Chernobyl’s abandoned 

Kotwani, M. (2015, September 27). Singapore must be prepared to handle nuclear
          developments: Experts. Channel Newsasia. Retrieved from 
          http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/singapore-must-be/2154300.html

Rogers, S. (2011, March 18). Nuclear power plants accidents: listed and ranked since 1952. The                   Guardian. Retrieved from  

The World Bank. (2015). Access to electricity (% of population). Retrieved from

Union of Concerned Scientists. (n.d.). Coal power: Air pollution. Retrieved from

United States Energy Information Administration. (2015, October 7). Indonesia International energy data

United States Energy Information Administration. (n.d.) Singapore. Marcon International, Inc. Retrieved from
            http://www.marcon.com/print_index.cfm?SectionGroupsID=51&PageID=442



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