Wednesday, 6 April 2016

Section A: About the Author and Blog

Author
  • Name: Chan Shi Ying (Miss)
  • Current undergraduate at the National University of Singapore (NUS)
  • NUS Module: GEH1059 Living in the Nuclear World

Blog

  • Introduction to nuclear power through videos
  • A blog response to the potential of Indonesia building a nuclear power plant in close proximity to Singapore
  • Extensive research done to explore the topic with references
  • Discusses the potential impacts of a nuclear power plant on Singapore and the region

Section B: Background Information

Plans for erecting a nuclear energy power plant in Indonesia has been discussed and aired to the public. In a recent article from Channel Newsasia, Indonesia has identified various locations outside of the Ring of Fire or Volcanic Ring for example, Batam Island, Kalimantan and Bangka (Yap, 2016). It has raised concerns among their neighbouring countries in the region, such as Singapore and Malaysia from the 2011 Fukushima nuclear power plant meltdown. Assuming that the new nuclear power plant would be built and operated on Batam Island, this blog aims to discuss the risks and benefits of a nuclear power plant in such close proximity, 31 kilometres, from Singapore. Subsequently, some recommendations and suggestions to protect civilians will be made if Indonesia carries on with their plan of building a nuclear power plant. Impacts on the region and recommendations will be discussed.




Source: dive-the-world.com

References
Yap, S. (2016, February 16). Inside Indonesia's nuclear dream. Channel Newsasia.          


Section C: Author’s Take

I am for the erection of a nuclear power plant in Indonesia as the benefits outweigh the risks. However, precautions and measures should be taken in ensuring that Indonesians and their neighbouring countries are relatively safe if and when a nuclear disaster occurs. My main take is that no neighbouring countries should be within the potential exclusion zone of 80 kilometres radius (BBC News, 2011). Also, to minimise are that Indonesia’s land will be within the exclusion zone, on top of other possible measures.

As long as the nuclear power plant is located where least amount of people are situated at within an 80 kilometre radius, the risks of for example affecting a whole country would be eliminated. Shifting the plant to be built on Padang, an island off the coast of West Kalimantan is one of the recommendations. Another recommendation is to build an extra control tower some distance away from the plant. Refer to “Policy Recommendation” post for an elaboration.

References

BBC News. (2011, March 31). Japan nuclear crisis: Pressure to widen evacuation zone.

Section D: Impact on Singapore and the Region - Benefits and Risks

Benefits

  1. Quality of air and environment

Indonesia currently uses coal to produce 51% of their electricity and no usage of nuclear power to generate energy (United States Energy Information Administration, 2015). Combusting coal to heat water produces steam to spin turbines, generating electricity.  However, the process produces substances polluting the natural environment, more specifically, the air. Some substances released into the air if not contained, disposed and/or treated are carbon dioxide, particulate matter, sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxides and mercury (Union of Concerned Scientists, n.d.).


Refer to the table below for the general effects of these substances on our environment, and towards Singapore as an immediate neighbour of Indonesia and their other neighbours (Union of Concerned Scientists, n.d.).


Substance
Typical amount produced per plant per year

Harmful effects
Without emission controls
With emission control
Carbon dioxide
3.5 million tons
0 ton
Global warming
Particulate matter
500 tons
At least 5 tons
Asthma, chronic bronchitis, visibility
Sulfur dioxide
14, 100 tons
7, 000 tons
Acid rain (affects crops and water quality), absorbed into bloodstream
Nitrogen oxides
10, 300 tons
3, 300 tons
Burn lung tissue, increase susceptibility to chronic lung disease
Mercury
170 pounds
153 pounds
Brain damage, heart problems

On the other hand, nuclear power plants emit no carbon emission and other substances, other than radioactive waste which will either be stored in containers for a long time or reprocessed through costly procedures.

With the introduction of a nuclear power plant to generate electricity, the reliance on coal based power plants can be reduced. Over time, coal power plants may be possibly taken out once the nuclear power plants can produce more than them. It is noted that the amount of energy nuclear power plants produce far exceeds any other form of energy generators. Hence, coal power plants would most possibly phase out, in turn eliminating the harmful substances from being emitted.

Hence, the one of the benefits of implementing the nuclear power plant in Indonesia is a reduction in harmful effects such as global warming, acid rain and chronic lung disease (as seen in the table above), potentially improving the air quality and environment in the region.

2.              Electricity trading - Reduction in electricity cost in Singapore

After the initial construction of the facility and acquiring of materials, other costs and expenses for the nuclear power plant will be for the maintenance and upkeep the production of energy other than wages for workers. Cost of production of energy would decrease drastically after the setting up phase. Also, nuclear power plants are able to produce far more energy than regular coal and natural gas power plants, hence extra energy could be sold to neighbouring countries like Singapore.

Cross-referencing to Finland, the chart below shows that the cost of nuclear energy is much lower compared to some other forms of energy. Hence, we assume that the price of nuclear energy produced in Indonesia also would be much lower than the current cost in Singapore.




Singapore has been mainly importing and burning natural gas (10%) and petroleum (90%) (United States Energy Information Administration, n.d.). The expenses generated to produce electricity will vary along with oil and gas prices in the world. Hence, the expenses and cost are not as fixed and unable to predict accurately. Such fluctuations are then passed on to the consumers. With this uncertainty in price of electricity in Singapore, Singapore can certainly explore mixing the current energy supply with nuclear energy which can be possibly bought over from Indonesia. This is assuming that the cost of nuclear energy produced in Indonesia is much lower than the other forms of energy produced in Singapore.

Importing nuclear energy and integrating it into our energy source can reduce the cost of electricity.

3.              Increase in trade and investment regionally

From 2011 to 2015, 96% of Indonesia’s population is supplied electricity (World Bank, 2015). In addition to trading electricity with Singapore, nuclear power plants in Indonesia would enable their population to be more accessible to electricity, increasing the percentage of Indonesia’s population to be supplied electricity. Having the additional nuclear power plant would increase the quality of Indonesia’s infrastructure. This can also spur more investors to set up factories, commercial hubs, production plants, essentially expanding trade and business with other countries, including Singapore, and between Southeast Asia countries. From an article, it is stated that “Singapore is Indonesia’s main trade and investment partner” (Anthoni, 2014). More trade and investment between the 2 countries are bound to take off.

Risks:

  1. Radioactive contamination

The current location of the nuclear power plant being Batam, is a relatively short distance from Singapore, and it being geographically located near the sea between Singapore and Indonesia. Sea water can also contaminate further countries. If standard operating procedures of the disposal of nuclear waste was not adhered to, and dumped into the sea for quick and easy disposal, radioactive waste would easily drift toward Singapore and Malaysia’s waters, contaminating them within hours. Some possible contamination of radioactive waste affects (refer to table below):

Radioactive waste contaminates
Potential impacts upon contact

Water and dust
Humans and animals:
Mutation of cells, cancer
Livestock and crops:
Infected with radioactive particles are deadly to humans when consumed

2.              Paralyze Singapore

Nuclear plant disasters can occur anytime. For example, the water cooling system breaks down and the backup fails, an explosion can occur, causing a leakage of radioactive material. Refer to the table below for the causes and INES level of the different nuclear reactor plant disasters (Rogers, 2011).


From a previous nuclear reactor disaster in Fukushima, Japan in 2011, they had demarcated an 80 kilometre radius exclusion zone (BBC News, 2011). This means that no one should be living within that exclusion zone. Assuming that the same radius was given for the exclusion zone when a nuclear disaster occurs in Batam, the close proximity of Singapore is to Batam, 31 km, would mean that the whole of Singapore is within the exclusion zone as seen in the diagram below.





If something happens, for example, in Indonesia's nuclear facility, which will be built very close to Singapore, it will affect the whole country. (Amir. S, NTU’s School of Humanities and Social Sciences, September 27, 2015).

The entire Singapore would be located within the exclusion zone as seen in the diagrams above, all citizens will be forced to evacuate as the area will have high levels of radiation, deeming it to be deadly to mankind and an inhabitable land. Singapore, the urban metropolis will be abandoned by its own citizens, only for wildlife to reclaim itself on the tropical island. From a case-study of the Chernobyl exclusion zone, wildlife flourished in the absence of human intervention (Kaplan & Kirkpatrick, 2015). Singapore would not be able to function as a country, hosting humans, trade, technology advancements so on and so forth.


References

Anthoni, M. (2014, December 4). Singapore is Indonesia’s main trade, investment partner.

BBC News. (2011, March 31). Japan nuclear crisis: Pressure to widen evacuation zone.

Kaplan, S., & Kirkpatrick, N. (2015). In the eerie emptiness of Chernobyl’s abandoned 

Kotwani, M. (2015, September 27). Singapore must be prepared to handle nuclear
          developments: Experts. Channel Newsasia. Retrieved from 
          http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/singapore-must-be/2154300.html

Rogers, S. (2011, March 18). Nuclear power plants accidents: listed and ranked since 1952. The                   Guardian. Retrieved from  

The World Bank. (2015). Access to electricity (% of population). Retrieved from

Union of Concerned Scientists. (n.d.). Coal power: Air pollution. Retrieved from

United States Energy Information Administration. (2015, October 7). Indonesia International energy data

United States Energy Information Administration. (n.d.) Singapore. Marcon International, Inc. Retrieved from
            http://www.marcon.com/print_index.cfm?SectionGroupsID=51&PageID=442



Section E: Policy Recommendations

      1)    Relocation of the Nuclear Plant

Indonesia covers a very wide land and sea area. Of the possible options mentioned namely Batam, Kalimantan and Bangka that are not in the Ring of Fire, Kalimantan is the furthest from Singapore in terms of distance. Steps can be taken to ensure that if an 80 kilometre radius exclusion zone was imposed due to a radioactive material leakage, Singapore would not be included within the exclusion zone if possible.

One possible location is Padang, or Pulau Karimata, Indonesia which is an island off the coast of West Kalimantan. Pulau Karimata is far off the coast of the mainland Kalimantan, having the Java Sea as a medium between itself and West Kalimantan. Upon simulating the exclusion zone of 80 kilometres radius, the exclusion zone only includes a small land area of West Kalimantan (see diagram below). Much lesser Indonesians would be required to evacuate the area and lesser of Indonesia would be affected compared to if the nuclear power plant is built on the mainland of West Kalimantan.


Source: Google Maps

          2)    Form Intercountry Nuclear Communication

As the country that will be using nuclear reactors to generate electricity, Indonesia holds the responsibility to be accountable to their geographically close neighbouring countries, more specifically, Malaysia and Singapore. Whether or not the nuclear power plant(s) will be built near Singapore and Malaysia such that we will be within the 80 kilometre exclusion zone, the radioactive substance can easily reach these neighbouring countries through drifting sea water and materials.

The two-country communication teams shall be made of national emergency and disaster personnel and nuclear power experts so that in times of a nuclear emergency, there will be teams from the neighbouring countries to communicate happenings and instructions to the citizens timely. Teams can be for example, Indonesia - Singapore team, Indonesia - Malaysia team.

In addition, the Indonesia team can regularly update to the other countries on the operating status of the power plant for example any sudden increase of decrease in operating efficiency and maintenance works carried out.

            3)    Additional Control Tower

When nuclear power plant disaster occurs, the plant will potentially leak dangerously high amounts of radioactive substances. Shutting the power plant or containing the leakage would prove a challenge because it requires people to risk exposure to high levels of radioactive materials. If proper guidelines and precautions are not adhered to, or by accident the protective suit tears, these personnel would be putting their lives on the line.

Hence, an additional control tower outside of the 80 kilometre exclusion zone can be constructed to shut the nuclear plant down from afar, reducing the need for personnel to risk exposure, especially directly after a disaster. This would enable Indonesia to reduce the extent of damage directly after the disaster. Containment and cleaning up of radioactive materials would be less risky also if the nuclear plant has been shut down.

            4)    Invest in Backups and Quality Materials for the facility


Most nuclear plants have backups for almost all essential functioning parts of the facility in case any part of the facility and reactor spoils, there will be a safety net to prevent a nuclear power plant failure (not due to natural disasters) from occurring. Also, high quality materials must be used in the construction and maintenance of the nuclear power plant to prevent structure and operational faults. Although these investments may jack up the total expense of the nuclear power plant, they are definitely essential.  

Section F: Nuclear Power Explained – Basics

          1)    How does Nuclear Power Work



Video Title: Nuclear Energy Explained: How does it work?



2) Overview of 
Benefits, Risks and Cons of a Nuclear Power Plant

Benefits of Nuclear Power Plant

A.             No carbon emission during energy production compared to combustion of fossil fuel
B.             Ability to produce energy levels far exceeding what conventional coal power plants
can produce
C.             Does not depend on climate and weather conditions
D.             No direct deaths during the production of energy
E.             Usage of fossil fuels

Risks of Nuclear Power Plant
A.             Radiation
B.             Reactor accidents
C.             Radioactive waste

Cons of Nuclear Power Plant
A.             Indirect CO2 emissions
B.             Indirect deaths (Only when a meltdown of the reactor occurs)
C.             Waste management
D.             Expenses
E.             Does not use fossil fuels


Feel free to explore the videos below for reference.

Video: Nuclear Energy Explained: Risk or Opportunity




Video: Nuclear Energy: Pros and Cons



Video: Ted Talk Debate: Does the world need nuclear energy?